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Gondomar vs Gafanha

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 game between Gondomar and Gafanha finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gondomar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gondomar
20%
Draws
44%
Gafanha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gafanha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gondomar come out ahead of Gafanha on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gondomar a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 20%
Gafanha Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gondomar Gafanha
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.88 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs Gafanha
6:1
Dec 9, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gafanha vs Gondomar
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gondomar 67 / 100
Gafanha 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gondomar Gafanha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gondomar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gafanha let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Gondomar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gafanha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gondomar VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gondomar

(Home)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Gondomar
29 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 0
Camacha
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 2
Leca
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Gafanha

(Away)
12 May
Gafanha
0 : 4
SC Espinho
05 May
Amarante FC
2 : 1
Gafanha
28 Apr
Gafanha
2 : 1
Lusitano FCV
20 Apr
Gondomar
6 : 1
Gafanha
14 Apr
Gafanha
2 : 1
Meda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Espinho 34 20 9 5 52:20 69
2 Lusitania FC 34 19 12 3 52:27 69
3 Gondomar 34 18 10 6 50:22 64
4 Agueda 34 16 12 6 43:26 60
5 Lusitano FCV 34 17 8 9 59:28 59
6 Sanjoanense 34 15 10 9 44:34 55
7 Amarante FC 34 15 9 10 45:28 54
8 Coimbroes 34 13 10 11 43:39 49
9 Maritimo B 34 12 13 9 53:40 49
10 Paredes 34 13 7 14 42:33 46
11 U. Madeira 34 12 8 14 28:35 44
12 Leca 34 12 7 15 34:41 43
13 Pedras Rubras 34 9 15 10 36:43 42
14 Cinfaes 34 11 8 15 33:40 41
15 Gafanha 34 11 4 19 46:69 37
16 Penalva do Castelo 34 7 7 20 27:66 28
17 FC Cesarense 34 4 13 17 37:55 25
18 Meda 34 0 2 32 21:99 2
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)