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Gondomar vs Maritimo B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Fontes D.
38'
Fontes D.
70' Event
Gouveia R.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 game between Gondomar and Maritimo B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gondomar
20%
Draws
44%
Maritimo B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maritimo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Gondomar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gondomar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 68%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gondomar Maritimo B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.67 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs Maritimo B
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs Gondomar
0:1
Feb 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs Gondomar
2:2
Oct 30, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs Maritimo B
1:0
Apr 11, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Gondomar vs Maritimo B
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gondomar Compare

Top Goalscorer Elisio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Maritimo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gouveia R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gondomar 50 / 100
Maritimo B 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gondomar Maritimo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gondomar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Gondomar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Maritimo B registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gondomar VS Maritimo B
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gondomar

(Home)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Gondomar
29 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 0
Camacha
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 2
Leca
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Maritimo B

(Away)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)