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Gonio vs FC Tbilisi 2025 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Kobuleti Football Center, Kobuleti
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Vinicius Belotti

AI Match Summary

Gonio in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gonio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gonio
30%
Draws
47%
FC Tbilisi 2025
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Tbilisi 2025

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Tbilisi 2025 lately — more wins on the board than Gonio.
  • Win probability leans FC Tbilisi 2025's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Gonio have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Gonio Clean Sheet 13%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gonio FC Tbilisi 2025
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.45 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Liga 3
Gonio vs FC Tbilisi 2025
1:0
Apr 24, 2026 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Gonio
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Gonio
2:6
Jun 15, 2024 Liga 3
Gonio vs FC Tbilisi 2025
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gonio Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Belotti
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

FC Tbilisi 2025 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gonio 10 / 100
FC Tbilisi 2025 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gonio FC Tbilisi 2025

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tbilisi 2025 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Gonio's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FC Tbilisi 2025 let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Gonio remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gonio VS FC Tbilisi 2025
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gonio

(Home)
08 Oct
WIT Georgia
2 : 0
Gonio
17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
2 : 1
Gonio
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
28 Aug
Gonio
2 : 2
Iberia 1999 2
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FC Tbilisi 2025

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Tbilisi 2025
3 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
FC Tbilisi 2025
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
03 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
27 Aug
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0
Iveria Khashuri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 23 17 3 3 67:11 54
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 23 15 7 1 57:14 52
3 Iberia 1999 2 23 11 9 3 37:19 42
4 Merani Tbilisi 23 11 7 5 39:29 40
5 WIT Georgia 23 11 5 7 37:25 38
6 Gonio 23 11 5 7 32:24 38
7 Orbi 23 10 5 8 39:28 35
8 Didube 23 9 7 7 35:31 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 23 9 5 9 34:33 32
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 23 8 7 8 30:29 31
11 Margveti 2006 23 9 3 11 30:39 30
12 Khobi 23 7 3 13 31:46 24
13 FC Gardabani 23 4 4 15 19:56 16
14 Betlemi Keda 23 4 4 15 15:55 16
15 Iveria Khashuri 23 1 11 11 24:48 14
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 23 2 5 16 19:58 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)