Sport Picks

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Gonio vs Guria

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Kobuleti Football Center, Kobuleti
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Maisashvili D.
66' Event
Kakhabrishvili K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Gonio and Guria finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Gonio
15%
Draws
40%
Guria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gonio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gonio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Gonio Clean Sheet 14%
Guria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gonio Guria
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.62 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Liga 3
Gonio vs Guria
0:2
Sep 26, 2024 Liga 3
Gonio vs Guria
3:0
Apr 4, 2024 Liga 3
Guria vs Gonio
1:3
Jul 6, 2022 Georgian Cup
Gonio vs Guria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gonio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Guria Compare

Top Goalscorer Maisashvili D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kakhabrishvili K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gonio 31 / 100
Guria 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gonio Guria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gonio found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Guria let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Gonio has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gonio VS Guria
2.63 Goals Scored 2.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gonio

(Home)
13 Aug
Gonio
1 : 1
Iveria Khashuri
06 Aug
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
0 : 2
Gonio
25 Jul
Gonio
1 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
26 Jun
Dinamo Sokhumi
0 : 3
Gonio
21 Jun
Khobi
0 : 1
Gonio
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Guria

(Away)
13 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 5
Guria
06 Aug
Guria
0 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
02 Aug
Guria
1 : 2
Dusheti
26 Jul
Guria
1 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Tbilisi 2025 17 13 4 0 45:9 43
2 Guria 17 11 3 3 47:11 36
3 Iberia 1999 2 17 10 5 2 27:10 35
4 Gonio 17 10 4 3 28:12 34
5 Orbi 17 9 3 5 30:16 30
6 Didube 17 8 5 4 29:20 29
7 WIT Georgia 17 8 4 5 27:15 28
8 Merani Tbilisi 17 7 5 5 23:23 26
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 17 7 3 7 25:23 24
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 17 5 5 7 16:22 20
11 Margveti 2006 17 5 3 9 17:32 18
12 Khobi 17 5 2 10 22:35 17
13 FC Gardabani 17 3 4 10 14:38 13
14 Iveria Khashuri 17 1 7 9 14:30 10
15 Betlemi Keda 17 2 4 11 10:39 10
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 17 0 3 14 11:50 3
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)