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Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Kobuleti Football Center, Kobuleti
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gonio host Merani Tbilisi in the Liga 3. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Gonio at 1.34 goals for, 1.31 against; Merani Tbilisi at 1.52 for, 1.59 against. Head-to-head, Gonio have won 1 to Merani Tbilisi's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.94, favoring Gonio. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gonio
20%
Draws
52%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gonio lately — more wins on the board than Merani Tbilisi.
  • Merani Tbilisi are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Gonio Clean Sheet 10%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gonio Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Gonio
1:1
Nov 29, 2024 Liga 3
Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi
2:5
Jun 5, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Gonio
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gonio 10 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gonio Merani Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Gonio scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Merani Tbilisi has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Gonio has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gonio VS Merani Tbilisi
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gonio

(Home)
16 Oct
Gonio
1 : 0
Orbi
08 Oct
WIT Georgia
2 : 0
Gonio
17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
2 : 1
Gonio
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
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Merani Tbilisi

(Away)
16 Oct
Locomotive Tbilisi
1 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
09 Oct
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 24 17 4 3 67:11 55
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 24 15 8 1 57:14 53
3 Iberia 1999 2 24 11 10 3 41:23 43
4 Merani Tbilisi 24 12 7 5 41:30 43
5 Gonio 24 12 5 7 33:24 41
6 WIT Georgia 24 11 5 8 38:28 38
7 Orbi 24 10 5 9 39:29 35
8 Didube 24 9 8 7 39:35 35
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 24 10 5 9 37:34 35
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 24 8 7 9 31:31 31
11 Margveti 2006 24 9 4 11 32:41 31
12 Khobi 24 7 4 13 33:48 25
13 Iveria Khashuri 24 2 11 11 32:48 17
14 FC Gardabani 24 4 4 16 19:59 16
15 Betlemi Keda 24 4 4 16 15:63 16
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 24 3 5 16 22:58 14
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)