Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Kasrelishvili J.
29'
29'
Kvirkvia M.
64'
64'
Kvelaidze L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Meshakhte Tkibuli advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gonio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Gonio carry the better recent record into this one.
- Gonio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Gonio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Meshakhte Tkibuli, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Meshakhte Tkibuli have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gonio Clean Sheet 20%
Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gonio | Meshakhte Tkibuli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Georgian Cup
Gonio vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Gonio
1:0
Sep 15, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gonio vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
0:2
May 24, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Gonio
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gonio vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gonio Compare
Top Goalscorer Kasrelishvili J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Meshakhte Tkibuli Compare
Top Goalscorer Kvirkvia M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kvelaidze L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gonio 85 / 100
Meshakhte Tkibuli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gonio Meshakhte Tkibuli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gonio has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Gonio scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Meshakhte Tkibuli has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Gonio VS Meshakhte Tkibuli
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gonio
(Home) 26 Jun
Dinamo Sokhumi
0 : 3 Gonio
21 Jun
Khobi
0 : 1 Gonio
15 Jun
Gonio
4 : 0 Margveti 2006
28 May
FC Gardabani
0 : 6 Gonio
21 May
Gonio
3 : 0 Betlemi Keda
Page 1 of 6
15 Jun
Gonio
4 : 0 Margveti 2006
21 May
Gonio
3 : 0 Betlemi Keda
07 May
Gonio
1 : 2 Didube
29 Apr
Gonio
1 : 0 WIT Georgia
16 Apr
Gonio
2 : 0 Dinamo Tbilisi 2
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Meshakhte Tkibuli
(Away) 14 Jul
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 4 Urartu
23 Jun
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Meshakhte Tkibuli
18 Jun
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 1 Gagra
13 Jun
FC Rustavi
1 : 0 Meshakhte Tkibuli
30 May
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 6 Dinamo Tbilisi
Page 1 of 7
23 Jun
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Meshakhte Tkibuli
13 Jun
FC Rustavi
1 : 0 Meshakhte Tkibuli
25 May
Spaeri
2 : 1 Meshakhte Tkibuli
16 May
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 1 Meshakhte Tkibuli
06 May
Samgurali
3 : 1 Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Rustavi 22
Orbi3
TBD-
Dinamo Batumi-
Torpedo Kutaisi 20
Margveti 20064
TBD-
Iberia 1999-
Kolkheti 1913-
TBD-
Zooveti Tbilisi0
Dusheti2
Skuri Tsalenjikha3
Dinamo Tbilisi 24
TBD-
Spaeri-
Dinamo Sokhumi0
Gonio3
TBD-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Basa2
Locomotive Tbilisi1
TBD-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Mertskhali1
Gori3
TBD-
Bolnisi-
Dmanisi0
WIT Georgia3
TBD-
Samgurali-
Merani Martvili 21
Iberia 1999 22
TBD-
Telavi-
Merani Martvili-
TBD-
Gagra 21
Odishi 19192
Guria6
Merani Tbilisi1
TBD-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Samtredia-
TBD-
West Georgia0
Shturmi2
FC Gardabani1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi5
TBD-
Dila Gori-
Iveria Khashuri5
Betlemi Keda4
TBD-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Aragvelebi0
FC Tbilisi 20254
TBD-
FC Rustavi-
Samtskhe4
Didube1
TBD-
Gagra-
1/16-finals
Orbi-
Dinamo Batumi-
Margveti 20061
Iberia 19993
Kolkheti 1913-
Dusheti-
Dinamo Tbilisi 20
Spaeri1
Gonio1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
Basa-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Gori-
Bolnisi-
WIT Georgia-
Samgurali-
Iberia 1999 2-
Telavi-
Merani Martvili-
Odishi 1919-
Guria-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Samtredia-
Shturmi-
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi-
Dila Gori-
Iveria Khashuri-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
FC Tbilisi 2025-
FC Rustavi-
Samtskhe-
Gagra-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
