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Gonio vs Orbi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Kobuleti Football Center, Kobuleti
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gonio host Orbi in the Liga 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. Orbi have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Gonio have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, Gonio have won 1 to Orbi's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.50) point toward Gonio. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gonio
20%
Draws
40%
Orbi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Orbi lately — more wins on the board than Gonio.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gonio Clean Sheet 16%
Orbi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gonio Orbi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga 3
Orbi vs Gonio
4:0
Sep 5, 2024 Liga 3
Orbi vs Gonio
2:2
Mar 14, 2024 Liga 3
Gonio vs Orbi
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gonio 31 / 100
Orbi 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gonio Orbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Gonio scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Orbi conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Orbi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gonio VS Orbi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gonio

(Home)
08 Oct
WIT Georgia
2 : 0
Gonio
17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
2 : 1
Gonio
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
28 Aug
Gonio
2 : 2
Iberia 1999 2
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Orbi

(Away)
17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0
Orbi
10 Sept
Orbi
2 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
03 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
3 : 2
Orbi
27 Aug
Orbi
1 : 0
Khobi
20 Aug
Margveti 2006
2 : 1
Orbi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)