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Gori vs Bolnisi

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Gori Logo

Gori

1 - 0
FT
Bolnisi Logo

Bolnisi

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Alimbarashvili G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gori
30%
Draws
37%
Bolnisi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bolnisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bolnisi at 1.38 per game, Gori at 1.13.
  • Model gives Gori a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Gori, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gori Clean Sheet 68%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gori Bolnisi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gori vs Bolnisi
4:1
Jul 25, 2026 Georgian Cup
Gori vs Bolnisi
1:0
May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Gori
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gori vs Bolnisi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gori Compare

Top Goalscorer Alimbarashvili G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Bolnisi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gori 51 / 100
Bolnisi 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gori Bolnisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bolnisi conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gori remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gori scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Gori VS Bolnisi
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gori

(Home)
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
06 Sept
Odishi 1919
2 : 3
Gori
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
22 Aug
Dusheti
1 : 0
Gori
Page 1 of 6

Bolnisi

(Away)
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
22 Aug
Odishi 1919
0 : 1
Bolnisi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
Samtredia 2
Iberia 1999 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Quarter-finals
Gagra 1
Dusheti 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
Dinamo Batumi 4
Samtredia -
FC Rustavi -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -