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Gori vs Bolnisi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Okropiridze N.
Assist: Alimbarashvili G.
46'
Sub
Kakulia G. In: Dundua T.
Out: Kakulia G.
46'
Sub
Iakobidze G. In: Kevin
Out: Iakobidze G.

AI Match Summary

Gori in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gori
35%
Draws
25%
Bolnisi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bolnisi lately — more wins on the board than Gori.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Gori Clean Sheet 68%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gori Bolnisi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gori vs Bolnisi
4:1
Jul 25, 2026 Georgian Cup
Gori vs Bolnisi
1:0
May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Gori
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gori vs Bolnisi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gori Compare

Top Goalscorer Nachkebia L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Okropiridze N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Bolnisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kevin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gori 41 / 100
Bolnisi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gori Bolnisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolnisi has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Gori went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gori found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Gori VS Bolnisi
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gori

(Home)
20 Sept
Gori
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
06 Sept
Odishi 1919
2 : 3
Gori
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
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Bolnisi

(Away)
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)