Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gori vs Samtredia

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Okropiridze N.
26'
Tsulaia L.
27' Event
Alimbarashvili G.
Assist: Kurmashvili G.

AI Match Summary

Gori in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gori
6%
Draws
4%
Samtredia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gori lately — more wins on the board than Samtredia.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Gori taking it.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Gori Clean Sheet 68%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gori Samtredia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gori vs Samtredia
2:1
Mar 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Gori
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gori Compare

Top Goalscorer Alimbarashvili G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okropiridze N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Makatsaria T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gori 95 / 100
Samtredia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gori Samtredia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtredia let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Gori found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Gori has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gori VS Samtredia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gori

(Home)
25 Jul
Gori
1 : 0
Bolnisi
26 Jun
Mertskhali
1 : 3
Gori
22 Jun
Merani Martvili
0 : 2
Gori
17 Jun
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 1
Gori
13 Jun
Gori
1 : 3
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Page 1 of 6

Samtredia

(Away)
22 Jun
Bolnisi
3 : 2
Samtredia
17 Jun
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Samtredia
13 Jun
Samtredia
2 : 2
Kolkheti 1913
30 May
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 2
Samtredia
24 May
Samtredia
0 : 3
Telavi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Gareji Sagarejo19116224:1239
2Telavi19105422:1535
3Merani Martvili1986523:2030
4Shturmi1969417:1427
5Dusheti1974818:2325
6Bolnisi1967625:2025
7Odishi 19191966723:2624
8Kolkheti 19131946924:2418
9Gori1937913:2416
10Samtredia19441125:3616
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)