Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gori vs Samtredia

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gori Logo

Gori

2 - 1
FT
Samtredia Logo

Samtredia

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Okropiridze N.
26'
Tsulaia L.
27' Event
Alimbarashvili G.
Assist: Kurmashvili G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gori in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Gori
20%
Draws
48%
Samtredia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Samtredia lately — more wins on the board than Gori.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Samtredia taking it.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Gori Clean Sheet 10%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gori Samtredia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Gori
1:0
May 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gori vs Samtredia
2:1
Mar 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Gori
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gori Compare

Top Goalscorer Alimbarashvili G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okropiridze N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Makatsaria T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gori 10 / 100
Samtredia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gori Samtredia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtredia let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gori remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Gori scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gori VS Samtredia
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gori

(Home)
20 Sept
Gori
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
06 Sept
Odishi 1919
2 : 3
Gori
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
Page 1 of 6

Samtredia

(Away)
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
02 Sept
Samtredia
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)