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Gori vs Zestafoni

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Gori Logo

Gori

2 - 2
FT
Zestafoni Logo

Zestafoni

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gori
35%
Draws
28%
Zestafoni
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gori lately — more wins on the board than Zestafoni.
  • Gori are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gori Clean Sheet 18%
Zestafoni Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gori Zestafoni
Matches Played 44 34
Wins 17 9
Draws 12 12
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2024 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Gori
1:1
Mar 20, 2024 Liga 3
Gori vs Zestafoni
0:0
Sep 21, 2023 Liga 3
Gori vs Zestafoni
2:2
Apr 27, 2023 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Gori
1:1
Sep 8, 2022 Liga 3
Gori vs Zestafoni
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gori 67 / 100
Zestafoni 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gori Zestafoni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gori's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

Zestafoni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gori stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gori VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gori

(Home)
20 Sept
Gori
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
06 Sept
Odishi 1919
2 : 3
Gori
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
Page 1 of 9

Zestafoni

(Away)
07 Dec
Meshakhte Tkibuli
3 : 0
Zestafoni
29 Nov
Zestafoni
2 : 1
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Nov
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Zestafoni
14 Nov
Zestafoni
0 : 0
Merani Martvili
07 Nov
FC Gardabani
2 : 2
Zestafoni
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)