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Gorilla vs Amagaju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gorilla host Amagaju in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Gorilla at 1.09 goals for, 1.27 against; Amagaju at 0.63 for, 1.03 against. Past meetings favor Amagaju slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.94) point toward Gorilla. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gorilla
20%
Draws
29%
Amagaju
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gorilla lately — more wins on the board than Amagaju.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 20%
Amagaju Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorilla Amagaju
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.09 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Amagaju vs Gorilla
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs Amagaju
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Amagaju vs Gorilla
1:0
Oct 25, 2024 Premier League
Gorilla vs Amagaju
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Premier League
Gorilla vs Amagaju
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorilla 32 / 100
Amagaju 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorilla Amagaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorilla's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Amagaju let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Gorilla stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorilla VS Amagaju
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorilla

(Home)
09 Oct
Gorilla
1 : 0
Rayon Sport
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
Page 1 of 7

Amagaju

(Away)
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0
Al Merreikh
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0
Amagaju
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Amagaju
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2
Muhanga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
4 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
5 Marines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 Kiyovu 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
7 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
8 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
9 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
11 Bugesera 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
12 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
13 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
14 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
15 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
16 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)