Sport Picks

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Gorilla vs AS Kigali

Rwanda Rwanda

Peace Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Gorilla
20%
Draws
34%
AS Kigali
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gorilla come out ahead of AS Kigali on wins alone.
  • Gorilla are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Gorilla have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gorilla, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 68%
AS Kigali Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorilla AS Kigali
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premier League
Gorilla vs AS Kigali
2:1
Mar 18, 2026 Peace Cup
AS Kigali vs Gorilla
2:2
Mar 11, 2026 Peace Cup
Gorilla vs AS Kigali
0:0
Oct 3, 2025 Premier League
AS Kigali vs Gorilla
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs AS Kigali
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorilla 77 / 100
AS Kigali 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorilla AS Kigali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gorilla scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

AS Kigali let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Gorilla went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorilla VS AS Kigali
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorilla

(Home)
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
15 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Gorilla
12 May
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

AS Kigali

(Away)
30 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Musanze
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
AS Kigali
15 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Gicumbi
10 May
APR
2 : 1
AS Kigali
06 May
Gorilla
2 : 1
AS Kigali
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Bugesera 1
Etincelles 2
Gasogi United 1
APR 4
Gorilla 2
AS Kigali 2
Police 0
Rayon Sport 1
Semi-finals
Etincelles 2
APR 6
Gorilla 1
Rayon Sport 1
Final
APR 2
Rayon Sport 1
Etincelles 1
Gorilla 6