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Gorilla vs Marines

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Gorilla Logo

Gorilla

1 - 1
FT
Marines Logo

Marines

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Gorilla and Marines finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gorilla
30%
Draws
34%
Marines
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Marines carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gorilla a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 19%
Marines Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorilla Marines
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Gorilla vs Marines
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Marines vs Gorilla
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Marines vs Gorilla
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Premier League
Gorilla vs Marines
1:0
Mar 10, 2024 Premier League
Marines vs Gorilla
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorilla 36 / 100
Marines 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorilla Marines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marines conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Gorilla scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Gorilla went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorilla VS Marines
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorilla

(Home)
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
15 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Gorilla
12 May
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Gorilla
Page 1 of 7

Marines

(Away)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
09 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Marines
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)