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Gorki vs Brest Malorita

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Play Offs
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Matyushenko A.
47' Event
Kovalev D.
53' Event
Pampukha P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Gorki
15%
Draws
36%
Brest Malorita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Brest Malorita carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Brest Malorita are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Brest Malorita arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gorki, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gorki Clean Sheet 10%
Brest Malorita Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorki Brest Malorita
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.33 3.36
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2020 Division 2 - Play Offs
Gorki vs Brest Malorita
2:1
Oct 17, 2020 Division 2 - Play Offs
Brest Malorita vs Gorki
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorki Compare

Top Goalscorer Matyushenko A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovalev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Brest Malorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Pampukha P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorki 10 / 100
Brest Malorita 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorki Brest Malorita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brest Malorita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Gorki's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Brest Malorita has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Brest Malorita registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorki VS Brest Malorita
1.13 Goals Scored 4
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorki

(Home)
31 May
Gorki
0 : 1
Ostrovets
28 May
Gorki
1 : 2
FK Baranovici
24 Oct
Gorki
2 : 1
Brest Malorita
17 Oct
Brest Malorita
6 : 0
Gorki
10 Oct
Gorki
1 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 6

Brest Malorita

(Away)
12 Feb
Belshina
5 : 2
Brest Malorita
11 Feb
Dynamo Brest
2 : 0
Brest Malorita
23 Jun
Brest Malorita
1 : 2
Slutsk
29 May
Brest Malorita
11 : 0
Kostyukovichy
24 Oct
Gorki
2 : 1
Brest Malorita
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Brest Malorita 7
Gorki 2
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 4
Ostrovets 12
Meliorator Zhitkovichi 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Ivatsevichi 9
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 8
BGU Minsk 3
BumProm Gomel 2
Pershiy Region 0
Polotsk 6
Kronon Stolbtsy 4
Energetik-BGATU 3
Chayka Zelva 5
Zhlobin 3