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Gorki vs Oshmyany Prediction & H2H Stats

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Demidchik P.
29' Event
Demidchik P.
52' Event
Malinovskiy A.

AI Match Summary

Oshmyany in this Belarusian Cup 2020/2021 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Gorki
20%
Draws
16%
Oshmyany
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gorki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Gorki have won more games recently than Oshmyany.
  • Model gives Gorki a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Gorki have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Oshmyany, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gorki Clean Sheet 16%
Oshmyany Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorki Oshmyany
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2020 Belarusian Cup
Gorki vs Oshmyany
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Oshmyany Compare

Top Goalscorer Demidchik P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Malinovskiy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorki 57 / 100
Oshmyany 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorki Oshmyany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oshmyany let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Gorki's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Oshmyany has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gorki VS Oshmyany
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorki

(Home)
31 May
Gorki
0 : 1
Ostrovets
28 May
Gorki
1 : 2
FK Baranovici
24 Oct
Gorki
2 : 1
Brest Malorita
17 Oct
Brest Malorita
6 : 0
Gorki
10 Oct
Gorki
1 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 6

Oshmyany

(Away)
21 Nov
Krumkachy
1 : 0
Oshmyany
15 Nov
Oshmyany
2 : 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
07 Nov
Oshmyany
0 : 6
Lokomotiv Gomel
31 Oct
FC Gomel
2 : 0
Oshmyany
24 Oct
Oshmyany
0 : 0
Chimik Svetlogorsk
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Pershiy Region 0
Lokomotiv Gomel 15
TBD -
Slutsk -
BGU Minsk 0
FC Gomel 5
TBD -
Shakhtyor Soligorsk -
Novaya Pripyat 0
Volna Pinsk 3
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 2
FC Slonim 5
TBD -
Neman -
Polotsk 1
Chimik Svetlogorsk 3
TBD -
Rukh Brest -
Energetik-BGATU 2
Ostrovets 6
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Krumkachy -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
BumProm Gomel 0
Dnepr Mogilev 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Kronon Stolbtsy 0
Mikashevichi 6
TBD -
BATE -
Meliorator Zhitkovichi 3
FK Lida 0
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Stroitel Kapyl 1
Orsha 3
TBD -
SKA-1938 Minsk -
FK Baranovici 1
Smorgon 0
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Osipovichi 1
Sputnik 3
TBD -
Belshina -
Gorki 0
Oshmyany 3
TBD -
Zhodino -
Spartak Shklov 0
Naftan 4
TBD -
FK Gorodeja -
Stanles Pinsk 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
TBD -
FK Smolevichi -
1/16-finals
Lokomotiv Gomel 0
Slutsk 2
FC Gomel 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 4
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 4
FC Slonim 1
Neman 3
Chimik Svetlogorsk 0
Rukh Brest 3
Ostrovets 0
FC Minsk 3
Krumkachy 2
Din. Minsk 0
Dnepr Mogilev 1
Isloch Minsk 2
Mikashevichi 0
BATE 5
Meliorator Zhitkovichi 0
Dynamo Brest 3
Orsha 1
SKA-1938 Minsk 6
FK Baranovici 0
Vitebsk 6
Sputnik 3
Belshina 2
Oshmyany 0
Zhodino 5
Naftan 0
FK Gorodeja 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 4
FK Smolevichi 1
1/8-finals
Slutsk 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 4
Slavia Mozyr 0
Neman 2
Rukh Brest 0
FC Minsk 3
Krumkachy 0
Isloch Minsk 4
BATE 4
Dynamo Brest 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
Vitebsk 1
Sputnik 1
Zhodino 4
FK Gorodeja 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 4
Neman 2
FC Minsk 1
Isloch Minsk 1
BATE 5
Vitebsk 3
Zhodino 3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0
Semi-finals
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1
Isloch Minsk 2
BATE 5
Zhodino 2
Final
Isloch Minsk 1
BATE 2