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Gorleston vs Hornchurch

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Hearn H.
52' Event
Rees J.
68' Event
Scannell S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Gorleston and Hornchurch finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hornchurch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gorleston
15%
Draws
51%
Hornchurch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hornchurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hornchurch come out ahead of Gorleston on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gorleston a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gorleston Clean Sheet 15%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorleston Hornchurch
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 7 19
Draws 1 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.1 2.19
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Gorleston vs Hornchurch
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorleston Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Hornchurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Hearn H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rees J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorleston 41 / 100
Hornchurch 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorleston Hornchurch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hornchurch has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Gorleston found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (21 games).

Gorleston went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorleston VS Hornchurch
1.33 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorleston

(Home)
29 Aug
Stotfold
0 : 3
Gorleston
28 Jul
Gorleston
1 : 3
Leiston
13 Sept
Waltham Abbey
2 : 0
Gorleston
30 Aug
March Town
1 : 3
Gorleston
05 Jul
Gorleston
0 : 3
Hornchurch
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Hornchurch

(Away)
31 Aug
Boston United
2 : 3
Hornchurch
28 Aug
Hornchurch
1 : 0
Woking
22 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 1
Hornchurch
18 Aug
Hornchurch
1 : 2
Norwich U21
15 Aug
Barrow
1 : 2
Hornchurch
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