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Gorna vs Chavdar Troyan

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2012/2013 Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
Gorna Logo

Gorna

11 - 0
FT
Chavdar Troyan Logo

Chavdar Troyan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2012/2013 game between Gorna and Chavdar Troyan finished 11-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gorna
35%
Draws
32%
Chavdar Troyan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gorna come out ahead of Chavdar Troyan on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gorna Clean Sheet 20%
Chavdar Troyan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Chavdar Troyan
Matches Played 37 27
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.19 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.58 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2013 Third League - North-West
Gorna vs Chavdar Troyan
11:0
Oct 21, 2012 Third League - North-West
Chavdar Troyan vs Gorna
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 32 / 100
Chavdar Troyan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Chavdar Troyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Gorna scored in 65% of their last 37 games.

Chavdar Troyan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Gorna remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Chavdar Troyan
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.17
88% Over 1.5 17%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
03 Sept
Gorna
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
30 Aug
Montana
3 : 0
Gorna
Page 1 of 8

Chavdar Troyan

(Away)
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
22 Aug
Spartak Pleven II
1 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
30 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Kariana Erden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 22 16 2 4 61:14 50
2 Parva Atomna 22 15 4 3 46:15 49
3 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 14 1 7 56:28 43
4 Dunav Selanovtsi 22 12 4 6 39:25 40
5 Lokomotiv Mezdra 1929 22 11 1 10 42:38 34
6 Gorna 22 9 4 9 40:26 31
7 OFK Levski 22 9 4 9 34:32 31
8 Belene 22 9 2 11 30:27 29
9 Sitomir 22 7 6 9 29:37 27
10 Chavdar Troyan 22 5 4 13 25:70 19
11 Tryavna 22 3 3 16 17:61 12
12 Balkan Belogradchik 22 1 7 14 19:65 10
Promotion - B PFG 2013/2014 (Main)