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Stadium Background

Gorna vs CSKA Sofia II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gorna host CSKA Sofia II in the Vtora liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. CSKA Sofia II have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Gorna have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Gorna slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.00 - 1.38) back CSKA Sofia II to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Gorna
30%
Draws
32%
CSKA Sofia II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gorna are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gorna Clean Sheet 17%
CSKA Sofia II Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna CSKA Sofia II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vtora liga
Gorna vs CSKA Sofia II
0:3
Nov 23, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Gorna
1:1
May 11, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Gorna
2:4
Nov 17, 2024 Vtora liga
Gorna vs CSKA Sofia II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 39 / 100
CSKA Sofia II 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna CSKA Sofia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Gorna went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gorna's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

CSKA Sofia II has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS CSKA Sofia II
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
30 Oct
Gorna
2 : 0
Beroe
23 Oct
Gorna
2 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
17 Oct
Gorna
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
10 Oct
Rilski Sportist
0 : 0
Gorna
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3
Gorna
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CSKA Sofia II

(Away)
30 Oct
Marek
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
23 Oct
CSKA Sofia II
3 : 3
Yantra Gabrovo
10 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
21 Sept
Dobrudzha
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)