Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gorna vs Etar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Ivanov Z.
45'
Sub
Rangelov B. In: Iliev D.
Out: Rangelov B.
48'
Aleksandrov G.

AI Match Summary

Gorna in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Gorna
20%
Draws
28%
Etar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Gorna haven't matched Etar's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Gorna taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gorna Clean Sheet 20%
Etar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Etar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.96 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Etar
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Vtora liga
Etar vs Gorna
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Etar
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Vtora liga
Etar vs Gorna
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Etar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iliev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Etar Compare

Top Goalscorer Naydenov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 85 / 100
Etar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Etar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Gorna stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Gorna scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Etar conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Etar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
17 Oct
Gorna
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
10 Oct
Rilski Sportist
0 : 0
Gorna
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3
Gorna
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
Page 1 of 6

Etar

(Away)
19 Oct
Etar
2 : 4
Spartak Varna
09 Oct
Etar
2 : 0
Fratria
03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3
Etar
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 12 7 3 2 23:9 24
2 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
3 Chernomorets 1919 12 7 3 2 21:8 24
4 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
5 Rilski Sportist 12 5 4 3 14:10 19
6 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
7 Nesebar 12 5 3 4 20:17 18
8 Beroe 12 5 3 4 18:15 18
9 Gorna 12 4 5 3 9:10 17
10 Hebar 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
11 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
12 Marek 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
13 Ludogorets II 11 4 3 4 12:12 15
14 Spartak Pleven 12 4 2 6 12:23 14
15 Montana 12 3 2 7 15:26 11
16 Svoge 12 2 4 6 8:13 10
17 Dobrudzha 12 2 3 7 12:21 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 12 0 1 11 5:34 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)