Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gorna vs Etar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Ivanov Z.
45'
Sub
Rangelov B. In: Iliev D.
Out: Rangelov B.
48'
Aleksandrov G.

AI Match Summary

Gorna in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gorna
20%
Draws
46%
Etar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gorna haven't matched Etar's recent run of results.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gorna Clean Sheet 10%
Etar Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Etar
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.89 1.92
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Etar
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Vtora liga
Etar vs Gorna
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Etar
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Vtora liga
Etar vs Gorna
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Etar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iliev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Etar Compare

Top Goalscorer Naydenov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 34 / 100
Etar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Etar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Gorna found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Recent resilience: Gorna stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Etar
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
30 Aug
Montana
3 : 0
Gorna
21 Aug
Gorna
2 : 1
Etar
16 Aug
Spartak Pleven
0 : 1
Gorna
09 Aug
Gorna
0 : 2
Fratria
03 Aug
Ludogorets II
2 : 1
Gorna
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Etar

(Away)
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
21 Aug
Gorna
2 : 1
Etar
15 Aug
Etar
1 : 1
Rilski Sportist
07 Aug
Etar
1 : 0
Marek
03 Aug
Etar
2 : 1
Yantra Gabrovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fratria 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
2 Vihren 6 3 3 0 11:6 12
3 Etar 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
4 CSKA Sofia II 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
5 Yantra Gabrovo 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
6 Montana 6 3 1 2 12:8 10
7 Nesebar 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
8 Beroe 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
9 Chernomorets 1919 6 2 2 2 6:4 8
10 Ludogorets II 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Gorna 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
12 Spartak Pleven 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
13 Hebar 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
14 Marek 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
15 Rilski Sportist 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
16 Svoge 6 1 3 2 3:4 6
17 Dobrudzha 6 1 2 3 7:8 5
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 6 0 0 6 3:22 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)