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Gorna vs Fratria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Stefanov R.
33' Event
Korablin T.
35'
Romanyuk E.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Gorna and Fratria finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fratria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gorna
15%
Draws
27%
Fratria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Fratria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Gorna taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Gorna Clean Sheet 68%
Fratria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Fratria
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Fratria
0:2
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Gorna vs Fratria
1:2
Apr 9, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Gorna
3:0
Oct 6, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Fratria
1:1
May 7, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Fratria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Korablin T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 95 / 100
Fratria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Fratria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorna has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gorna's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Fratria has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Fratria
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
30 Oct
Gorna
2 : 0
Beroe
23 Oct
Gorna
2 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
17 Oct
Gorna
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
10 Oct
Rilski Sportist
0 : 0
Gorna
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3
Gorna
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Fratria

(Away)
28 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2
Montana
18 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2
Botev Vratsa
09 Oct
Etar
2 : 0
Fratria
03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3
Fratria
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)