Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gorna vs Fratria

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gorna host Fratria in the Vtora liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Gorna have averaged 1 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Fratria's 1.88 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Gorna have won 2 to Fratria's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.88) point toward Fratria. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gorna
33%
Draws
40%
Fratria
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Fratria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Fratria taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gorna Clean Sheet 10%
Fratria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Fratria
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Gorna vs Fratria
1:2
Apr 9, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Gorna
3:0
Oct 6, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Fratria
1:1
May 7, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Fratria
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Gorna
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 26 / 100
Fratria 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Fratria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Gorna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gorna's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Fratria
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
25 Jul
Gorna
1 : 1
Chernomorets 1919
18 Jul
Ludogorets II
2 : 0
Gorna
11 Jul
Gorna
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven
04 Jul
Gorna
1 : 2
Fratria
01 Jul
Cherno More
0 : 0
Gorna
Page 1 of 6

Fratria

(Away)
25 Jul
Fratria
0 : 1
Marek
10 Jul
Yantra Gabrovo
1 : 1
Fratria
04 Jul
Gorna
1 : 2
Fratria
27 Jun
Farul Constanta
1 : 1
Fratria
23 May
Fratria
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Etar11005:13
2Dobrudzha11005:13
3Spartak Pleven11002:03
4Beroe11002:13
5Marek11001:03
6Ludogorets II11001:03
7Montana10102:21
8Svoge10102:21
9Vihren10101:11
10Gorna10101:11
11CSKA Sofia II10101:11
12Chernomorets 191910101:11
13Hebar10011:20
14Rilski Sportist10010:10
15Fratria10010:10
16Yantra Gabrovo10010:20
17Pirin Blagoevgrad10011:50
18Nesebar10011:50
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)