Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gorna vs Fratria

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Stefanov R.
33' Event
Korablin T.
35'
Romanyuk E.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Gorna and Fratria finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fratria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Gorna
35%
Draws
30%
Fratria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Fratria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Gorna taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gorna Clean Sheet 17%
Fratria Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Fratria
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 14
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 0.96 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Fratria
0:2
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Gorna vs Fratria
1:2
Apr 9, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Gorna
3:0
Oct 6, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Fratria
1:1
May 7, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Fratria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Korablin T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 36 / 100
Fratria 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Fratria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gorna scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Fratria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gorna stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Fratria
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
03 Sept
Gorna
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
30 Aug
Montana
3 : 0
Gorna
21 Aug
Gorna
2 : 1
Etar
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Fratria

(Away)
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Fratria
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
24 Aug
Vihren
2 : 2
Fratria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 9 6 3 0 21:8 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 9 5 2 2 19:8 17
3 Fratria 9 4 4 1 12:7 16
4 Yantra Gabrovo 9 5 1 3 12:9 16
5 Chernomorets 1919 9 4 3 2 12:6 15
6 Beroe 9 4 3 2 12:8 15
7 Etar 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
8 Nesebar 9 4 2 3 16:12 14
9 Marek 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
10 Ludogorets II 9 3 3 3 9:9 12
11 Rilski Sportist 9 3 3 3 10:9 12
12 Gorna 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
13 Hebar 9 3 2 4 18:17 11
14 Montana 9 3 2 4 13:16 11
15 Spartak Pleven 9 3 1 5 10:19 10
16 Svoge 9 1 4 4 4:7 7
17 Dobrudzha 9 1 3 5 9:14 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 9 0 0 9 3:30 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)