Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gorna vs Krumovgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
Sat, May 2, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gorna host Krumovgrad in the Vtora liga 2025/2026. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Gorna have averaged 0.89 scored and 1.54 conceded recently, against Krumovgrad's 3.43 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Gorna have won 0 to Krumovgrad's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.88 - 2.06) back Krumovgrad to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gorna
20%
Draws
52%
Krumovgrad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Krumovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gorna lately — more wins on the board than Krumovgrad.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Krumovgrad taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gorna Clean Sheet 10%
Krumovgrad Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Krumovgrad
Matches Played 28 7
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 0
Losses 14 0
Goals Scored 0.89 3.43
Goals Conceded 1.54 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Krumovgrad
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Vtora liga
Krumovgrad vs Gorna
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 10 / 100
Krumovgrad 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Krumovgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krumovgrad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gorna scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Gorna stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Krumovgrad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 7 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Krumovgrad
0.88 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
03 Sept
Gorna
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
30 Aug
Montana
3 : 0
Gorna
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Krumovgrad

(Away)
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Krumovgrad
6 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
06 Sept
Botev II
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
29 Aug
Krumovgrad
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
22 Aug
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 3
Krumovgrad
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
Promotion - efbet League (Main)
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