Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gorna vs Marek

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kirilov D.
45'
Atanasov Z. A.
46'
Sub
Kirilov D. In: Sandev R.
Out: Kirilov D.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Gorna and Marek finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Gorna
22%
Draws
18%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Marek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Gorna taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gorna Clean Sheet 68%
Marek Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Marek
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Marek
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Vtora liga
Marek vs Gorna
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Marek
4:1
Sep 14, 2024 Vtora liga
Marek vs Gorna
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Marek Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirilov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 68 / 100
Marek 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marek let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Gorna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Marek registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Marek
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
18 Jul
Ludogorets II
2 : 0
Gorna
11 Jul
Gorna
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven
04 Jul
Gorna
1 : 2
Fratria
01 Jul
Cherno More
0 : 0
Gorna
20 Jun
Dunav Ruse
1 : 2
Gorna
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Marek

(Away)
18 Jul
Vihren
1 : 0
Marek
11 Jul
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 2
Marek
03 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 0
Marek
27 Jun
Septemvri Sofia
3 : 0
Marek
23 May
Marek
1 : 0
Etar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dunav Ruse32209353:1669
2Yantra Gabrovo321810445:2464
3Fratria32189561:2963
4Vihren32177859:3458
5CSKA Sofia II32167957:3255
6Chernomorets 1919321113838:3246
7Etar3211111039:4344
8Ludogorets II321181341:4341
9Marek3210111127:3541
10Hebar321171441:5140
11Pirin Blagoevgrad329111238:4138
12Spartak Pleven32981537:4535
13Svoge32971628:4834
14Gorna32891533:5233
15Sevlievo32951829:5232
16Minyor Pernik32791632:4530
17Belasitsa Petrich32472126:6219
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