Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gorna vs Marek

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gorna host Marek in the Vtora liga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Gorna at 0.89 goals for, 1.59 against; Marek at 0.96 for, 0.85 against. Head-to-head, Gorna have won 1 to Marek's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.00) back Marek to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gorna
30%
Draws
39%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marek lately — more wins on the board than Gorna.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Gorna Clean Sheet 20%
Marek Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Marek
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.89 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Marek
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Vtora liga
Marek vs Gorna
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Marek
4:1
Sep 14, 2024 Vtora liga
Marek vs Gorna
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 32 / 100
Marek 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gorna scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gorna remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Marek has conceded goals in 50% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Marek
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
03 Sept
Gorna
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
30 Aug
Montana
3 : 0
Gorna
21 Aug
Gorna
2 : 1
Etar
Page 1 of 6

Marek

(Away)
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0
Nesebar
29 Aug
Svoge
0 : 0
Marek
23 Aug
Marek
4 : 2
Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 9 6 3 0 21:8 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 9 5 2 2 19:8 17
3 Fratria 9 4 4 1 12:7 16
4 Yantra Gabrovo 9 5 1 3 12:9 16
5 Chernomorets 1919 9 4 3 2 12:6 15
6 Beroe 9 4 3 2 12:8 15
7 Etar 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
8 Nesebar 9 4 2 3 16:12 14
9 Marek 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
10 Ludogorets II 9 3 3 3 9:9 12
11 Rilski Sportist 9 3 3 3 10:9 12
12 Gorna 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
13 Hebar 9 3 2 4 18:17 11
14 Montana 9 3 2 4 13:16 11
15 Spartak Pleven 9 3 1 5 10:19 10
16 Svoge 9 1 4 4 4:7 7
17 Dobrudzha 9 1 3 5 9:14 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 9 0 0 9 3:30 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)