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Gorna vs Spartak Pleven

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
62' Event
83' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Gorna and Spartak Pleven finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gorna
28%
Draws
22%
Spartak Pleven
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartak Pleven come out ahead of Gorna on wins alone.
  • Gorna are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gorna Clean Sheet 16%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Spartak Pleven
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Gorna
5:2
Nov 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Spartak Pleven
3:1
May 17, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Spartak Pleven
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Gorna
2:2
Jun 26, 2024 Club Friendly
Gorna vs Spartak Pleven
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 48 / 100
Spartak Pleven 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Spartak Pleven

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Spartak Pleven let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Gorna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Spartak Pleven registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Spartak Pleven
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%