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Gorna vs Spartak Pleven

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
62' Event
83' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Gorna and Spartak Pleven finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gorna
30%
Draws
28%
Spartak Pleven
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartak Pleven come out ahead of Gorna on wins alone.
  • Gorna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gorna have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gorna Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Spartak Pleven
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Gorna
0:1
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Gorna vs Spartak Pleven
2:1
May 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Gorna
5:2
Nov 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Spartak Pleven
3:1
May 17, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Spartak Pleven
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 85 / 100
Spartak Pleven 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Spartak Pleven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Gorna stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Gorna scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Spartak Pleven has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Spartak Pleven
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
03 Sept
Gorna
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
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Spartak Pleven

(Away)
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
03 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
5 : 1
Spartak Pleven
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