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Gornik Konin vs Chemik Police

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Milanowski S.
66' Event
Rudnik S.
79' Event
Dabrowski D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gornik Konin
30%
Draws
34%
Chemik Police
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gornik Konin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gornik Konin lately — more wins on the board than Chemik Police.
  • Gornik Konin are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gornik Konin Clean Sheet 15%
Chemik Police Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornik Konin Chemik Police
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Chemik Police
2:2
Mar 6, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Gornik Konin
1:2
Jun 10, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Chemik Police
0:0
Nov 9, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Gornik Konin
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gornik Konin Compare

Top Goalscorer Milanowski S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rajch M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chemik Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Rudnik S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dabrowski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Konin 35 / 100
Chemik Police 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornik Konin Chemik Police

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemik Police let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Gornik Konin scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Gornik Konin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gornik Konin VS Chemik Police
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%