Sport Picks

Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Cracovia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gornik Zabrze play Cracovia in the Ekstraklasa 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gornik Zabrze averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Cracovia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Gornik Zabrze won 1, Cracovia won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Gornik Zabrze and 1.06 for Cracovia. This points to a Gornik Zabrze double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Gornik Zabrze

33%

Draws

22%

Cracovia

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gornik Zabrze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Gornik Zabrze picked up more points recently compared to Cracovia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 22%

Cracovia Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gornik Zabrze	Cracovia
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	16	5
Draws	6	16
Losses	5	9
Goals Scored	1.41	1
Goals Conceded	0.7	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Sep 27, 2025 Ekstraklasa

Cracovia vs Gornik Zabrze

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Feb 28, 2025 Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia

Possession: 55% - 60% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Aug 24, 2024 Ekstraklasa

Cracovia vs Gornik Zabrze

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

May 3, 2024 Ekstraklasa

Cracovia vs Gornik Zabrze

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 2 - 0

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gornik Zabrze Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikia Dimi Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kubicki J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Cracovia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Zabrze 45 / 100

Cracovia 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gornik Zabrze Cracovia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gornik Zabrze or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gornik Zabrze attacking → ← attacking Cracovia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornik Zabrze scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Cracovia let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Gornik Zabrze went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cracovia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 31

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	34	16	12	6	62:45	60
2	Gornik Zabrze	34	16	8	10	50:38	56
3	Jagiellonia	34	15	11	8	56:41	56
4	Rakow Czestochowa	34	16	7	11	51:40	55
5	GKS Katowice	34	14	8	12	51:45	50
6	Legia	34	12	13	9	42:37	49
7	Zaglebie	34	13	9	12	45:38	48
8	Wisla Plock	34	12	10	12	34:38	46
9	Pogon Szczecin	34	13	6	15	47:49	45
10	Radomiak Radom	34	11	11	12	52:53	44
11	Korona Kielce	34	11	10	13	40:40	43
12	Motor Lublin	34	10	13	11	46:53	43
13	Cracovia	34	9	15	10	39:42	42
14	Widzew Lodz	34	12	6	16	41:41	42
15	Piast Gliwice	34	11	8	15	42:46	41
16	Lechia Gdansk	34	12	7	15	62:65	38
17	Arka Gdynia	34	9	9	16	34:61	36
18	Termalica Bruk-Bet	34	9	7	18	43:65	34