Sport Picks
Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze 
Match Events
26'
26'
Walemark P.
30'
30'
Kubicki J.
36'
36'
Sayyadmanesh A.
AI Match Summary
The Ekstraklasa game between Gornik Zabrze and Lech Poznan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gornik Zabrze.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gornik Zabrze
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lech Poznan come out ahead of Gornik Zabrze on wins alone.
- Model gives Gornik Zabrze a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 13%
Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gornik Zabrze | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 2.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan
2:1
Jul 16, 2026 Super Cup
Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze
3:1
Mar 4, 2026 Polish Cup
Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gornik Zabrze Compare
Top Goalscorer Prekop E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Lech Poznan Compare
Top Goalscorer Sayyadmanesh A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gornik Zabrze 40 / 100
Lech Poznan 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gornik Zabrze Lech Poznan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Gornik Zabrze scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Lech Poznan conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Gornik Zabrze went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gornik Zabrze VS Lech Poznan
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Gornik Zabrze
(Home) 10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Gornik Zabrze
02 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2 Odra Opole
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2 Odra Opole
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 Lech Poznan
30 Aug
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 3 GKS Katowice
20 Aug
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 3 Monaco
16 Aug
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 Wisla
Page 1 of 3
Lech Poznan
(Away) 10 Oct
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 4 Lech Poznan
03 Oct
Lech Poznan
2 : 2 Energie Cottbus
20 Sept
Lech Poznan
5 : 1 Radomiak Radom
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0 Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 4 Lech Poznan
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0 Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 Lech Poznan
30 Aug
Widzew Lodz
2 : 3 Lech Poznan
27 Aug
Thun
2 : 2 Lech Poznan
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 5 | Wisla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 15 |
| 9 | Zaglebie | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
