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Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gornik Zabrze host Piast Gliwice in the Ekstraklasa. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Gornik Zabrze have averaged 1.44 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Piast Gliwice's 1.59 scored and 1.62 conceded. Past meetings favor Gornik Zabrze slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.94) point toward Gornik Zabrze. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Gornik Zabrze
15%
Draws
40%
Piast Gliwice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gornik Zabrze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gornik Zabrze lately — more wins on the board than Piast Gliwice.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gornik Zabrze have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 10%
Piast Gliwice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornik Zabrze Piast Gliwice
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.44 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze
0:1
May 17, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze
2:0
Nov 24, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice
1:0
Feb 10, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Zabrze 30 / 100
Piast Gliwice 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornik Zabrze Piast Gliwice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piast Gliwice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gornik Zabrze scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Piast Gliwice let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Gornik Zabrze remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gornik Zabrze VS Piast Gliwice
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gornik Zabrze

(Home)
02 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2
Odra Opole
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1
Lech Poznan
06 Sept
Cracovia
0 : 1
Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 7

Piast Gliwice

(Away)
02 Oct
Piast Gliwice
3 : 4
Wisla
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin
14 Sept
Radomiak Radom
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
04 Sept
Piast Gliwice
3 : 0
GKS Katowice
01 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
0 : 3
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 GKS Katowice 9 5 0 4 20:14 15
6 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
7 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
9 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 KS Wieczysta Krakow 9 2 2 5 14:17 8
14 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
15 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
16 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
17 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 10 1 0 9 13:25 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)