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Gornyak Khromtay vs Zhastar Uralsk

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gornyak Khromtay play Zhastar Uralsk in the First Division 2006. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gornyak Khromtay averaged 1.02 goals scored and 2.24 conceded. Zhastar Uralsk averaged 0.77 goals scored and 3.23 conceded. In past meetings, Gornyak Khromtay won 4, Zhastar Uralsk won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 14, 2007 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Gornyak Khromtay and 1.94 for Zhastar Uralsk. This points to a Gornyak Khromtay double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Gornyak Khromtay
15%
Draws
30%
Zhastar Uralsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gornyak Khromtay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Gornyak Khromtay picked up more points recently compared to Zhastar Uralsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Gornyak Khromtay Clean Sheet 10%
Zhastar Uralsk Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornyak Khromtay Zhastar Uralsk
Matches Played 45 35
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 2
Losses 29 26
Goals Scored 1.02 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.24 3.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2007 First League
Zhastar Uralsk vs Gornyak Khromtay
3:1
Jul 11, 2007 First League
Gornyak Khromtay vs Zhastar Uralsk
2:0
Sep 18, 2006 First League
Gornyak Khromtay vs Zhastar Uralsk
1:0
Jun 1, 2006 First League
Zhastar Uralsk vs Gornyak Khromtay
0:2
Nov 4, 2005 First League
Gornyak Khromtay vs Zhastar Uralsk
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornyak Khromtay 52 / 100
Zhastar Uralsk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornyak Khromtay Zhastar Uralsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gornyak Khromtay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Gornyak Khromtay & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gornyak Khromtay attacking → ← attacking Zhastar Uralsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornyak Khromtay scored in 56% of their last 45 games.

Zhastar Uralsk let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Gornyak Khromtay went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Zhastar Uralsk lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 23
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zhetysu Taldykorgan262510119:1476
2Kaspij Aktau26193463:2060
3Gornyak Khromtay26171840:2552
4Cesna Almaty26164664:3052
5Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty26155639:2550
6Akzhayik Uralsk26161956:3149
7Zhambyl Taraz2698935:3035
8Aktobe 2261031343:5033
9Munaily Atyrau26671325:4825
10Ordabasy 226731634:6524
11Koksu26621832:5920
12AI-Universitet26541729:5719
13Kaisar Kyzylorda 226431923:7115
14Zhastar Uralsk26332012:8912
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Avangard Petropavlovsk24163539:1951
2Asbest Zitikara24155437:1750
3Shakhter Karagandy 224128425:1244
4Spartak Semey24127546:2543
5Kazakhmys24125736:3541
6Shakhter Yunost24115841:2538
7Aksu24106832:2836
8Ertis Pavlodar 2241041038:2834
9Rakhat Astana2496927:2633
10Vostok Oskemen 224951033:3732
11Tobol 224441620:4116
12Energetik Pavlodar 224421817:4714
13Batyr Ekibastuz24202213:646