Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gornyak Khromtay vs Zhastar Uralsk

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gornyak Khromtay in this First Division 2005 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gornyak Khromtay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Gornyak Khromtay
28%
Draws
50%
Zhastar Uralsk
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Zhastar Uralsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Gornyak Khromtay at 0.88 per game, Zhastar Uralsk at 0.
  • Zhastar Uralsk are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular First Division 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gornyak Khromtay here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Gornyak Khromtay Clean Sheet 10%
Zhastar Uralsk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornyak Khromtay Zhastar Uralsk
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 25 23
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2007 First League
Zhastar Uralsk vs Gornyak Khromtay
3:1
Jul 11, 2007 First League
Gornyak Khromtay vs Zhastar Uralsk
2:0
Sep 18, 2006 First League
Gornyak Khromtay vs Zhastar Uralsk
1:0
Jun 1, 2006 First League
Zhastar Uralsk vs Gornyak Khromtay
0:2
Nov 4, 2005 First League
Gornyak Khromtay vs Zhastar Uralsk
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornyak Khromtay 22 / 100
Zhastar Uralsk 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornyak Khromtay Zhastar Uralsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhastar Uralsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Zhastar Uralsk's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Gornyak Khromtay scored in 45% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Gornyak Khromtay VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gornyak Khromtay

(Home)
11 Oct
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3
FK Ayzharik Shimkent
08 Oct
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3
Taraz
30 Sept
Aktobe 2
3 : 0
Gornyak Khromtay
27 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Gornyak Khromtay
19 Sept
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3
Avangard Petropavlovsk
Page 1 of 7

Zhastar Uralsk

(Away)
22 Oct
Zhambyl Taraz
1 : 0
Zhastar Uralsk
19 Oct
Megasport Almaty
8 : 0
Zhastar Uralsk
11 Oct
Zhastar Uralsk
0 : 4
Akzhayik Uralsk
08 Oct
Zhastar Uralsk
1 : 3
Aktobe 2
03 Oct
Zhastar Uralsk
2 : 1
Munaily Atyrau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kaisar Kyzylorda22174151:1055
2Cesna Almaty22172357:1653
3Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty22146270:2348
4Gornyak Khromtay22133630:2642
5Kaspij Aktau22106631:1736
6Ordabasy 22294940:4831
7Zhambyl Taraz22731224:3124
8Munaily Atyrau22731220:3824
9AI-Universitet22561119:4121
10Zhastar Uralsk22531421:4618
11Aktobe 222331626:6512
12Zhetysu Taldykorgan 222231714:429
Promotion - Premier League 2006 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Energetik Pavlodar242130109:766
2Spartak Semey24185176:1759
3Ertis Pavlodar 224153660:2848
4Shakhter Yunost24132935:3041
5Ayat Rudnyi241101328:4033
6Asbest Zitikara241031130:3433
7Eurasia Astana24941125:3431
8Vostok Oskemen 224851139:4329
9Aksu24731422:4324
10Batyr Ekibastuz24641425:5222
11Spartak Semey 224631523:5921
12Kyzylzhar Academy24541520:7319
13Bolat24471312:4419
Promotion - Premier League 2006 (Main)