Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GOSK Dubrovnik vs OSK Otok

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GOSK Dubrovnik play OSK Otok in the 3. HNL South. It looks like a close match. Recently, GOSK Dubrovnik averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. OSK Otok averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, GOSK Dubrovnik won 2, OSK Otok won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 26, 2022 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for GOSK Dubrovnik and 1.19 for OSK Otok. This points to a GOSK Dubrovnik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
GOSK Dubrovnik
15%
Draws
32%
OSK Otok
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GOSK Dubrovnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • GOSK Dubrovnik picked up more points recently compared to OSK Otok.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
GOSK Dubrovnik Clean Sheet 20%
OSK Otok Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GOSK Dubrovnik OSK Otok
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.03 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2022 3. HNL South
GOSK Dubrovnik vs OSK Otok
3:0
Sep 29, 2021 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs GOSK Dubrovnik
2:0
Apr 17, 2021 3. HNL South
GOSK Dubrovnik vs OSK Otok
3:2
Sep 30, 2020 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs GOSK Dubrovnik
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GOSK Dubrovnik 52 / 100
OSK Otok 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GOSK Dubrovnik OSK Otok

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOSK Dubrovnik Win (1)
Secondary Pick GOSK Dubrovnik & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

GOSK Dubrovnik attacking → ← attacking OSK Otok

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GOSK Dubrovnik scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

OSK Otok let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

GOSK Dubrovnik went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

OSK Otok lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 22
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jadran Luka Ploce34205967:2865
2Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje341861056:3860
3Hrvace341861046:3960
4HNK Zadar341611769:2859
5Neretva341671150:3655
6RNK Split341571252:4052
7NK Junak Sinj341641449:4652
8Uskok Klis341561351:5451
9Sloga Mravince341214848:4550
10Primorac Biograd341461460:5648
11Zagora341281447:5244
12GOSK Dubrovnik3411101335:3443
13Zmaj Makarska3411101328:3943
14Neretvanac341081640:5338
15Kamen Podbablje349101537:5137
16Vodice34891744:7333
17Urania Baska Voda341032133:6533
18OSK Otok34682048:8326