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Stadium Background

GOSK Dubrovnik vs Zagora Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between GOSK Dubrovnik and Zagora finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zagora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
GOSK Dubrovnik
30%
Draws
47%
Zagora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zagora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • GOSK Dubrovnik haven't matched Zagora's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
GOSK Dubrovnik Clean Sheet 11%
Zagora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GOSK Dubrovnik Zagora
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 3. HNL South
GOSK Dubrovnik vs Zagora
0:1
Sep 11, 2021 3. HNL South
Zagora vs GOSK Dubrovnik
1:2
May 19, 2021 3. HNL South
GOSK Dubrovnik vs Zagora
4:0
Oct 31, 2020 3. HNL South
Zagora vs GOSK Dubrovnik
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GOSK Dubrovnik 30 / 100
Zagora 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GOSK Dubrovnik Zagora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GOSK Dubrovnik scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Zagora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 41 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: GOSK Dubrovnik stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GOSK Dubrovnik VS Zagora
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

GOSK Dubrovnik

(Home)
24 Jan
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 2
Jadran Luka Ploce
28 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 2
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0
Zmaj Makarska
08 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
GOSK Dubrovnik
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Zagora

(Away)
26 Sept
Lucko
1 : 3
Zagora
19 Sept
Zagora
5 : 0
Uljanik Pula
12 Sept
Solin
1 : 1
Zagora
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
05 Sept
Zagora
1 : 1
Dragovoljac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)