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Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gosport Borough host Basingstoke in the Southern League Premier South. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Gosport Borough at 1.52 goals for, 1.67 against; Basingstoke at 1.63 for, 1.78 against. Head-to-head, Gosport Borough have won 3 to Basingstoke's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.00) back Gosport Borough to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gosport Borough
35%
Draws
25%
Basingstoke
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gosport Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Gosport Borough have won more games recently than Basingstoke.
  • 25% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 20%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gosport Borough Basingstoke
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Gosport Borough
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Gosport Borough
0:3
Oct 18, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke
3:4
Aug 30, 2025 FA Cup
Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Gosport Borough
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gosport Borough 36 / 100
Basingstoke 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gosport Borough Basingstoke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basingstoke Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basingstoke has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Gosport Borough scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Gosport Borough went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gosport Borough VS Basingstoke
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gosport Borough

(Home)
10 Oct
Bath City
1 : 2
Gosport Borough
07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Poole Town
30 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 1
Bracknell Town
26 Sept
Tiverton
1 : 3
Gosport Borough
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
Page 1 of 6

Basingstoke

(Away)
10 Oct
Basingstoke
4 : 1
Malvern Town
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Basingstoke
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)