Sport Picks
Gosport Borough vs Malvern Town Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
41'
41'
Campbell K.
45'
45'
Clark H.
49'
49'
Wooden D.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South game between Gosport Borough and Malvern Town finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gosport Borough.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gosport Borough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gosport Borough come out ahead of Malvern Town on wins alone.
- Gosport Borough are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 19%
Malvern Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gosport Borough | Malvern Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 24 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 2.08 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Malvern Town
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gosport Borough Compare
Top Goalscorer Wooden D.
3 Goals Assists Leader Campbell K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Malvern Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Clark H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chong K. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gosport Borough 85 / 100
Malvern Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gosport Borough Malvern Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gosport Borough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Malvern Town has conceded goals in 83% of their last 24 outings.
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Gosport Borough found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Solid form: Gosport Borough remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gosport Borough VS Malvern Town
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gosport Borough
(Home) 30 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 1 Bracknell Town
26 Sept
Tiverton
1 : 3 Gosport Borough
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gosport Borough
3 : 1 Taunton Town
05 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 3 Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 1 Bracknell Town
12 Sept
Gosport Borough
3 : 1 Taunton Town
05 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 3 Plymouth Parkway
29 Aug
Gosport Borough
4 : 2 Malvern Town
15 Aug
Gosport Borough
1 : 1 Uxbridge
Page 1 of 3
Malvern Town
(Away) 29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1 Malvern Town
26 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1 Malvern Town
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2 Gloucester City
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
07 Sept
Redditch
4 : 0 Malvern Town
Page 1 of 5
29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1 Malvern Town
26 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1 Malvern Town
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
07 Sept
Redditch
4 : 0 Malvern Town
29 Aug
Gosport Borough
4 : 2 Malvern Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Poole Town | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 7 | Frome Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:22 | 13 |
| 9 | Evesham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 10 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 5 |
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Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
