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Gosport Borough vs Sholing

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
McCarthy J.
30' Event
Kasimu H.
(Penalty)
72' Event
Higgs T.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Gosport Borough and Sholing finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sholing.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Gosport Borough
20%
Draws
51%
Sholing
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sholing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sholing come out ahead of Gosport Borough on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 13%
Sholing Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gosport Borough Sholing
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Sholing
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Gosport Borough
2:2
Jan 1, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Sholing
4:1
Aug 26, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Gosport Borough
1:1
Dec 26, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Sholing
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gosport Borough Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sholing Compare

Top Goalscorer McCarthy J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Higgs T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gosport Borough 30 / 100
Sholing 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gosport Borough Sholing

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gosport Borough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gosport Borough's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sholing let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gosport Borough stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gosport Borough VS Sholing
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gosport Borough

(Home)
22 Aug
Frome Town
1 : 2
Gosport Borough
15 Aug
Gosport Borough
1 : 1
Uxbridge
12 Aug
Gosport Borough
0 : 1
Hanworth Villa
08 Aug
Yate
1 : 0
Gosport Borough
25 Apr
Gosport Borough
3 : 6
Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 6

Sholing

(Away)
22 Aug
Sholing
2 : 4
Chertsey Town
15 Aug
Hanwell Town
0 : 0
Sholing
11 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 1
Sholing
08 Aug
Sholing
1 : 2
Bath City
25 Jul
Sholing
1 : 0
Folkestone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)