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Gosport Borough vs Uxbridge

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Prior-Tack L.
49' Event
Perez-Duah T.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Greenwood B.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Gosport Borough and Uxbridge finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uxbridge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gosport Borough
30%
Draws
39%
Uxbridge
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uxbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Uxbridge carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gosport Borough are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Uxbridge have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 17%
Uxbridge Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gosport Borough Uxbridge
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.5 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Uxbridge
1:1
Apr 3, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Uxbridge
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Uxbridge vs Gosport Borough
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gosport Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Greenwood B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Uxbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Prior-Tack L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gosport Borough 41 / 100
Uxbridge 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gosport Borough Uxbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gosport Borough's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Uxbridge has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Gosport Borough went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gosport Borough VS Uxbridge
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gosport Borough

(Home)
30 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 1
Bracknell Town
26 Sept
Tiverton
1 : 3
Gosport Borough
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gosport Borough
3 : 1
Taunton Town
05 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 6

Uxbridge

(Away)
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Basingstoke
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2
Uxbridge
19 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 2
Farnborough
15 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 0
Uxbridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)