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Gossau vs Baden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gossau host Baden in the 1.Liga Classic Group 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Gossau have averaged 1.52 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Baden's 1.76 scored and 1.82 conceded. Head-to-head, Gossau have won 0 to Baden's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 31, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.94) back Baden to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gossau
15%
Draws
42%
Baden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gossau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Baden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 1.Liga Classic Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Gossau Clean Sheet 10%
Baden Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gossau Baden
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.76
Goals Conceded 2 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Baden vs Gossau
2:0
May 7, 2022 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Gossau
4:0
Oct 30, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Gossau vs Baden
3:3
Mar 30, 2019 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Gossau
4:1
Sep 8, 2018 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Gossau vs Baden
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gossau 30 / 100
Baden 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gossau Baden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baden has conceded goals in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gossau scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Baden's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gossau VS Baden
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gossau

(Home)
03 Oct
Gossau
4 : 1
FC Widnau
26 Sept
Taverne
5 : 0
Gossau
19 Sept
Gossau
1 : 0
Locarno
12 Sept
Dietikon
2 : 1
Gossau
05 Sept
Gossau
1 : 4
Tuggen
Page 1 of 7

Baden

(Away)
03 Oct
Baden
2 : 3
Taverne
27 Sept
Locarno
3 : 1
Baden
19 Sept
Baden
2 : 1
Dietikon
12 Sept
Tuggen
2 : 1
Baden
05 Sept
Baden
3 : 1
Wettswil-Bonstetten
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuggen 9 6 2 1 20:9 20
2 St. Gallen II 9 6 1 2 20:16 19
3 Taverne 9 5 2 2 24:13 17
4 Thalwil 9 4 4 1 16:9 16
5 Baden 9 5 1 3 19:14 16
6 Kosova 9 4 4 1 15:11 16
7 Collina d'Oro 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
8 Dietikon 9 3 2 4 12:14 11
9 Gossau 9 3 2 4 12:17 11
10 Freienbach 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
11 Winterthur II 8 3 0 5 10:11 9
12 Eschen/Mauren 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
13 Mendrisio 9 1 5 3 11:13 8
14 Locarno 9 1 4 4 11:13 7
15 Wettswil-Bonstetten 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
16 FC Widnau 9 1 2 6 4:17 5
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)