Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gotha vs Dresden II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gotha
30%
Draws
70%
Dresden II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dresden II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Dresden II have won more games recently than Gotha.
  • Dresden II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gotha Clean Sheet 19%
Dresden II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gotha Dresden II
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 5 26
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.97 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Dresden II
2:2
Oct 28, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Gotha
2:0
Apr 22, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Gotha
7:0
Oct 30, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Dresden II
2:2
Apr 10, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Dresden II
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gotha 10 / 100
Dresden II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gotha Dresden II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Gotha scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Dresden II conceded in 64% of 42 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dresden II
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gotha

(Home)
09 Jun
Erfurt II
5 : 2
Gotha
02 Jun
Gotha
0 : 2
Jena II
26 May
Aue II
4 : 1
Gotha
22 May
Gotha
2 : 4
Wacker Nordhausen
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
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Dresden II

(Away)
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
30 Aug
Dresden II
5 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
09 Aug
Dresden II
1 : 0
Freital
18 Jul
Lichtenberg
1 : 1
Dresden II
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)