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Stadium Background

Gotha vs Fortuna Chemnitz

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 game between Gotha and Fortuna Chemnitz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortuna Chemnitz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gotha
15%
Draws
85%
Fortuna Chemnitz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Chemnitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fortuna Chemnitz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Fortuna Chemnitz taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Fortuna Chemnitz have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Gotha Clean Sheet 10%
Fortuna Chemnitz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gotha Fortuna Chemnitz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Fortuna Chemnitz
1:2
Nov 17, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Gotha
1:3
Apr 28, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Fortuna Chemnitz
1:3
Nov 5, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Gotha
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gotha 10 / 100
Fortuna Chemnitz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gotha Fortuna Chemnitz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Chemnitz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fortuna Chemnitz conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Gotha scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Fortuna Chemnitz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gotha VS Fortuna Chemnitz
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gotha

(Home)
09 Jun
Erfurt II
5 : 2
Gotha
02 Jun
Gotha
0 : 2
Jena II
26 May
Aue II
4 : 1
Gotha
22 May
Gotha
2 : 4
Wacker Nordhausen
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
Page 1 of 6

Fortuna Chemnitz

(Away)
09 Jun
Aue II
5 : 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
05 Jun
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 5
Chemnitzer II
25 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
3 : 4
Hallescher II
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
15 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 1
Laubsdorf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)