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Gotham FC W vs San Diego Wave W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
McCaskill S.
40'
Sub
Ascanio K. In: Dali K.
Out: Ascanio K.
44' Event
Shaw J.
Assist: Dudley J.

AI Match Summary

Gotham FC W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gotham FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gotham FC W
15%
Draws
46%
San Diego Wave W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Diego Wave W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Diego Wave W lately — more wins on the board than Gotham FC W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 18%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gotham FC W San Diego Wave W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 18
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs San Diego Wave W
1:0
Jul 5, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Gotham FC W
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Gotham FC W
0:2
May 16, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs San Diego Wave W
0:1
Jun 19, 2024 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs San Diego Wave W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gotham FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

San Diego Wave W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gotham FC W 32 / 100
San Diego Wave W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gotham FC W San Diego Wave W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Diego Wave W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gotham FC W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

San Diego Wave W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Gotham FC W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gotham FC W VS San Diego Wave W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gotham FC W

(Home)
04 Oct
Gotham FC W
1 : 1
Angel City W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0
Gotham FC W
Page 1 of 6

San Diego Wave W

(Away)
03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2
San Diego Wave W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
San Diego Wave W
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0
Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
07 Sept
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0
San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)