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Gotse Delchev vs Nadezhda Dobroslavci

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gotse Delchev play Nadezhda Dobroslavci in the Third League - South-West 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gotse Delchev averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. Nadezhda Dobroslavci averaged 1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Gotse Delchev won 3, Nadezhda Dobroslavci won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Gotse Delchev and 1.69 for Nadezhda Dobroslavci. This points to a Gotse Delchev double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Gotse Delchev
18%
Draws
29%
Nadezhda Dobroslavci
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Gotse Delchev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Gotse Delchev picked up more points recently compared to Nadezhda Dobroslavci.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Gotse Delchev Clean Sheet 13%
Nadezhda Dobroslavci Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gotse Delchev Nadezhda Dobroslavci
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.22 1
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2023 Third League - South-West
Gotse Delchev vs Nadezhda Dobroslavci
0:1
Mar 25, 2023 Third League - South-West
Nadezhda Dobroslavci vs Gotse Delchev
0:0
Apr 2, 2022 Third League - South-West
Gotse Delchev vs Nadezhda Dobroslavci
1:0
Sep 18, 2021 Third League - South-West
Nadezhda Dobroslavci vs Gotse Delchev
0:2
Mar 27, 2021 Third League - South-West
Gotse Delchev vs Nadezhda Dobroslavci
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gotse Delchev 50 / 100
Nadezhda Dobroslavci 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gotse Delchev Nadezhda Dobroslavci

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gotse Delchev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Gotse Delchev & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gotse Delchev attacking → ← attacking Nadezhda Dobroslavci

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gotse Delchev scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Nadezhda Dobroslavci let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Gotse Delchev went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nadezhda Dobroslavci lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 24
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00