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Goytacaz vs 7 de Abril

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Marcos Aranha
48' Event
Moreno Y.
71' Event
Vinicinho

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2025 game between Goytacaz and 7 de Abril finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goytacaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Goytacaz
20%
Draws
29%
7 de Abril
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Goytacaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Goytacaz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Goytacaz are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 68%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytacaz 7 de Abril
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 13 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Carioca B2
Goytacaz vs 7 de Abril
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goytacaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos Aranha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

7 de Abril Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytacaz 68 / 100
7 de Abril 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytacaz 7 de Abril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goytacaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

7 de Abril's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 21 matches.

Attacking prowess: Goytacaz scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Goytacaz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goytacaz VS 7 de Abril
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytacaz

(Home)
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
24 Jun
America RJ
:
Goytacaz
17 Jun
Goytacaz
:
America RJ
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
Page 1 of 6

7 de Abril

(Away)
07 Sept
7 de Abril
2 : 2
Serra Macaense
30 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 0
7 de Abril
09 Nov
Macae
2 : 0
7 de Abril
06 Nov
7 de Abril
6 : 2
FC Rio de Janeiro
02 Nov
Goytacaz
2 : 1
7 de Abril
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)