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Goytacaz vs Duque de Caxias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
45' Event
53' Event

AI Match Summary

Goytacaz in this Carioca B1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Goytacaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Goytacaz
20%
Draws
42%
Duque de Caxias
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Duque de Caxias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Goytacaz lately — more wins on the board than Duque de Caxias.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 24%
Duque de Caxias Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytacaz Duque de Caxias
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.31 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Carioca B1
Goytacaz vs Duque de Caxias
2:1
Nov 21, 2020 Carioca 2
Goytacaz vs Duque de Caxias
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytacaz 37 / 100
Duque de Caxias 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytacaz Duque de Caxias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duque de Caxias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Goytacaz's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Goytacaz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Duque de Caxias has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Goytacaz VS Duque de Caxias
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytacaz

(Home)
10 Oct
Sao Cristovao
1 : 1
Goytacaz
03 Oct
Goytacaz
2 : 1
Duque de Caxias
26 Sept
Nova Cidade
1 : 2
Goytacaz
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
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Duque de Caxias

(Away)
10 Oct
Duque de Caxias
1 : 0
Audax RJ
03 Oct
Goytacaz
2 : 1
Duque de Caxias
26 Sept
Duque de Caxias
0 : 2
Niteroiense
19 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 1
Duque de Caxias
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 6 5 1 0 10:2 16
2 Duque de Caxias 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
3 Serrano FC 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
4 Goytacaz 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
5 Goncalense 6 2 4 0 7:4 10
6 Artsul 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Campo Grande 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
8 Macae 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
9 Sao Cristovao 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
10 Nova Cidade 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
11 Audax RJ 6 0 1 5 2:9 1
12 AA Carapebus 6 0 1 5 5:13 1
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)