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Goytacaz vs Macae

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Goytacaz Logo

Goytacaz

1 - 0
FT
Macae Logo

Macae

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Alexsandro
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Goytacaz in this Carioca B1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Goytacaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Goytacaz
30%
Draws
16%
Macae
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Goytacaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Goytacaz have won more games recently than Macae.
  • Goytacaz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca B1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 68%
Macae Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytacaz Macae
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Carioca B1
Goytacaz vs Macae
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Carioca B2
Goytacaz vs Macae
4:1
Nov 30, 2025 Carioca B2
Macae vs Goytacaz
1:1
Oct 13, 2025 Carioca B2
Macae vs Goytacaz
0:1
Feb 18, 2019 Carioca
Goytacaz vs Macae
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goytacaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Alexsandro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Macae Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytacaz 95 / 100
Macae 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytacaz Macae

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goytacaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytacaz found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Macae conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Goytacaz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goytacaz VS Macae
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytacaz

(Home)
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
24 Jun
America RJ
:
Goytacaz
17 Jun
Goytacaz
:
America RJ
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
30 Nov
Macae
1 : 1
Goytacaz
Page 1 of 6

Macae

(Away)
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
23 Jun
Americano
2 : 1
Macae
17 Jun
Macae
0 : 0
Americano
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
30 Nov
Macae
1 : 1
Goytacaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duque de Caxias 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Artsul 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
3 Niteroiense 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Goytacaz 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Macae 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
6 Campo Grande 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
7 Sao Cristovao 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
8 Goncalense 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
9 Serrano FC 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
10 Nova Cidade 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
11 AA Carapebus 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
12 Audax RJ 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)