Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gozzano vs Borgaro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lischetti L.
36' Event
Pluvio N.
(Penalty)
71' Event
Albisetti F.

AI Match Summary

Gozzano in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gozzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gozzano
20%
Draws
44%
Borgaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Borgaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gozzano lately — more wins on the board than Borgaro.
  • Gozzano are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gozzano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 68%
Borgaro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gozzano Borgaro
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 12 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.12 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.12 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Borgaro
3:2
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Gozzano
2:1
Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Gozzano
0:2
Sep 24, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Borgaro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Lischetti L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ori R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Borgaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Albisetti F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brunod M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gozzano 86 / 100
Borgaro 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gozzano Borgaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gozzano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Borgaro conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Gozzano found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gozzano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gozzano VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gozzano

(Home)
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
GSD Lascaris
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1
Gozzano
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Borgaro

(Away)
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 0
Bra
17 Apr
Chisola
1 : 2
Borgaro
13 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 2
Lavagnese
06 Apr
NovaRomentin
8 : 2
Borgaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)