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Gozzano vs Cairese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sarpa C.

AI Match Summary

Gozzano in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gozzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gozzano
20%
Draws
30%
Cairese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gozzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gozzano have won more games recently than Cairese.
  • Win probability leans Gozzano's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gozzano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 20%
Cairese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gozzano Cairese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Cairese
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Gozzano
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Gozzano
1:2
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Cairese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarpa C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Cairese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gozzano 36 / 100
Cairese 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gozzano Cairese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gozzano scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Cairese let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Gozzano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gozzano VS Cairese
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gozzano

(Home)
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
GSD Lascaris
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1
Gozzano
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Cairese

(Away)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)