Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gozzano vs Cairese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sarpa C.

AI Match Summary

Gozzano in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gozzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gozzano
33%
Draws
27%
Cairese
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gozzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gozzano have won more games recently than Cairese.
  • Win probability leans Gozzano's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gozzano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 20%
Cairese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gozzano Cairese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Cairese
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Gozzano
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Gozzano
1:2
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Cairese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarpa C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cairese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gozzano 40 / 100
Cairese 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gozzano Cairese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gozzano scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Cairese let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Gozzano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gozzano VS Cairese
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gozzano

(Home)
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Gozzano
19 Apr
Gozzano
3 : 2
Chisola
12 Apr
Valenzana
1 : 1
Gozzano
Page 1 of 7

Cairese

(Away)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)