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Gozzano vs Ligorna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Piredda M.
45' Event
Corti A.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Bottaro A.

AI Match Summary

Ligorna in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ligorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gozzano
20%
Draws
57%
Ligorna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ligorna lately — more wins on the board than Gozzano.
  • Ligorna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gozzano here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 10%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gozzano Ligorna
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 18
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Ligorna
0:4
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Gozzano
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Ligorna
3:0
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Ligorna
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Gozzano
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gozzano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Piredda M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bottaro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gozzano 10 / 100
Ligorna 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gozzano Ligorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ligorna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gozzano's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ligorna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gozzano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gozzano VS Ligorna
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gozzano

(Home)
01 Nov
Saluzzo
0 : 0
Gozzano
28 Oct
Celle Varazze
1 : 2
Gozzano
25 Oct
Gozzano
2 : 3
Chisola
11 Oct
Gozzano
0 : 4
Ligorna
04 Oct
AS Biellese
4 : 1
Gozzano
Page 1 of 6

Ligorna

(Away)
01 Nov
Ligorna
0 : 0
Sestri Levante
25 Oct
Valenzana
0 : 1
Ligorna
18 Oct
Ligorna
1 : 2
Bra
11 Oct
Gozzano
0 : 4
Ligorna
04 Oct
Ligorna
2 : 1
Saluzzo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 10 9 0 1 21:10 27
2 Chisola 10 6 2 2 24:12 20
3 AS Biellese 10 6 2 2 21:11 20
4 Ligorna 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Derthona FbC 10 4 4 2 14:14 16
6 Millesimo 10 5 1 4 17:11 16
7 Imperia Calcio 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Asti Calcio 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
9 Gozzano 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
10 Sanremese 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
11 Saluzzo 10 2 6 2 10:10 12
12 Borgosesia Calcio 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
13 GSD Lascaris 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
14 Fezzanese 10 3 1 6 8:15 10
15 Bra 10 2 4 4 8:14 10
16 Sestri Levante 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
17 Valenzana 10 1 2 7 10:18 5
18 Celle Varazze 10 1 1 8 5:19 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)