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Gozzano vs Vado

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Romairone A.
37' Event
Vita D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Gozzano
15%
Draws
32%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gozzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Very High Confidence
  • Gozzano haven't matched Vado's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gozzano a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 68%
Vado Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gozzano Vado
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Vado
1:1
Nov 26, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Gozzano
1:2
May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Gozzano
4:1
Jan 29, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Vado
0:0
Oct 2, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Gozzano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Romairone A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Vita D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gozzano 77 / 100
Vado 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gozzano Vado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gozzano scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Gozzano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vado's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gozzano VS Vado
1 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gozzano

(Home)
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Gozzano
19 Apr
Gozzano
3 : 2
Chisola
12 Apr
Valenzana
1 : 1
Gozzano
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Vado

(Away)
05 Aug
Torino
3 : 1
Vado
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
17 May
Vado
3 : 0
Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)