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Grad vs Bogojina

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2017/2018
Grad Logo

Grad

4 - 1
FT
Bogojina Logo

Bogojina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2017/2018 game between Grad and Bogojina finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Grad
15%
Draws
51%
Bogojina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bogojina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Bogojina haven't matched Grad's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Grad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Grad have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Grad Clean Sheet 20%
Bogojina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grad Bogojina
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 21 8
Draws 7 1
Losses 6 23
Goals Scored 2.12 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2017 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Bogojina
4:1
Aug 20, 2017 3. SNL - East
Bogojina vs Grad
0:1
Mar 26, 2017 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Bogojina
4:1
Sep 4, 2016 3. SNL - East
Bogojina vs Grad
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grad 85 / 100
Bogojina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grad Bogojina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grad scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Bogojina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bogojina lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grad VS Bogojina
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Grad

(Home)
18 Oct
NK Carda Martjanci
1 : 0
Grad
14 Aug
Grad
1 : 4
Krsko Posavje
05 Jun
Koper
4 : 0
Grad
01 Jun
Odranci
1 : 1
Grad
26 May
Grad
3 : 0
Radgona
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Bogojina

(Away)
18 Sept
Bogojina
0 : 4
Mura
26 May
Bogojina
2 : 1
Radgona
19 May
NK Polana
7 : 2
Bogojina
13 May
Bogojina
1 : 5
Odranci
06 May
NK Carda Martjanci
0 : 1
Bogojina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beltinci 26 20 4 2 62:21 64
2 NK Polana 26 18 3 5 73:26 57
3 Odranci 26 18 3 5 62:29 57
4 Ljutomer 26 15 4 7 54:38 49
5 Hotiza 26 14 4 8 60:28 46
6 Grad 26 12 5 9 53:31 41
7 Tromejnik 26 10 6 10 44:41 36
8 Crensovci 26 10 5 11 47:54 35
9 Rakican 26 9 5 12 39:46 32
10 Turnisce 26 7 4 15 27:56 25
11 Radgona 26 6 4 16 20:57 22
12 NK Carda Martjanci 26 5 5 16 30:48 20
13 Bogojina 26 6 1 19 23:74 19
14 Slatina 26 4 3 19 25:70 15
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)